Bengals vs Lions prediction.
Bengals vs Lions Prediction – Week 5, 2026
_Location: Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati_
*The matchup*
This was a Week 5 game from last season’s schedule. Lions were 10.5-point road favorites because the Bengals were without Joe Burrow. 9a1e5566
*What the experts/predictions said*
Most models heavily favored Detroit:
– *ESPN*: Lions 74.8% win probability
– *Sports Betting Dime*: Lions 38, Bengals 16.5
– *Dimers*: Lions 26, Bengals 24
– *Sportsnaut*: Lions 34, Bengals 21
– *Beacon Journal panel*: Picks ranged from Lions 28-7 to Lions 42-6
– *Yardbarker*: Lions 42, Bengals 21 d61ca48579ad

Consensus: *Lions win, cover -10.5*
*Why Lions were favored*
1. *Burrow out* – Jake Browning started the last 2 games. Bengals scored just 13 points combined and were outscored 76-13 in those games
2. *Detroit’s offense rolling* – 3 straight wins, scored 30+ in each. Jared Goff playing well with Amon-Ra St. Brown leading NFL in TD catches
3. *Bengals defense struggling* – Allowing 29.8 PPG and 3rd-most passing yards
4. *Mismatch up front* – Aidan Hutchinson had 4 sacks in last 3 weeks vs Bengals RT Amarius Mims with a 49.3 PFF pass-block grade 5566a485d85b0ea02274
*Why Bengals could keep it close*
– *Playmakers*: Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins can still hit big vs a banged-up Detroit secondary. Reed was on IR
– *Chase matchup*: Lions allow lots of yards through the air. Action Network liked Chase Over 73.5 yards
– *History*: Bengals have won 7 straight vs Detroit, last loss was 1992 0ea0f7be24b0
*Key players to watch*
– *Lions*: Jared Goff, Amon-Ra St. Brown – 6 TDs already, Jahmyr Gibbs + David Montgomery run game, Aidan Hutchinson DPOY favorite
– *Bengals*: Jake Browning, Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Trey Hendrickson – 2 sacks, 6 QB hits 2274d85b0ea0
*My take*
With Burrow out, Detroit’s offense vs Cincinnati’s defense is a huge gap. Bengals have Chase/Higgins to make it respectable late, but Lions control it. 79ad
*Prediction: Lions 31, Bengals 17*
Lions cover, Under 49.5 looks good too with Cincinnati’s offense limited. d85b
Note:d on last year’s Week 5 matchup. If you meant a different upcoming Bengals-Lions game, let me know the date and I’ll pull the latest odds/injuries.
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